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Weaker economic outlook slows world cargo growth

World cargo growth slows down

International air cargo growth was slowed in October by the worsening economic situation around theworld, IATA announced today.



Freight demand grew 3.6% in October compared to the same month in 2006 on capacity up 4.2%.This growth was down from the 5% year-on-year increase recorded in September, and partly reversesthe strong pick up of freight growth seen in mid-2007, the international airline association said.Year-to-date freight demand has risen 4.0% on capacity up 5.1%.

Referring to the factors behind the latest trend, IATA commented that economic volatility ishaving a more immediate effect on international air freight demand. Leading air freight indicatorssuch as semi-conductor shipments and global manufacturing business confidence levels have slowed inrecent months. Demand for air freight is still expected to grow, but at a slower pace for theremainder of the year, IATA said.

“The numbers show that the fourth quarter will be challenging.  With weakeningconfidence levels in manufacturing businesses and slower semi-conductor shipments we have alreadyseen a slowdown in cargo growth from 5.0% in September to 3.6% in October,” said GiovanniBisignani, IATA Director General and CEO. “Air cargo is still expanding, but the industry hasshifted gears to a slower pace of growth.”

At a regional level, European carriers grew 2% and North America 0.6%, reflecting thestrength of competition from other modes of transport and slower US economic growth. Asia Pacificairlines saw a fall in growth rates, from 7% in September to 5.8% in October, partly due to slowergrowth in semi-conductor shipments.

Middle East carriers saw freight demand improve slightly to 9.0% in October, largelyreflecting increased capacity with new route development. Demand in Latin America (-7.4%) andAfrica (-9.3%) dropped sharply.

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