B2C e-commerce growth in the UK was just 1.9% year-on-year (YoY) in May 2019, the worst recorded growth since the e-Retail Sales Index started, according to the latest monthly IMRG Capgemini eRetail Sales Index.
After the disappointing growth rate of just over 5% in April, May continued the discouraging 2019 trend of below-average growth. Compared to this time last year, when online retailing in May recorded its strongest growth since 2010, online retailing remains rather tough this year.
Overall, monthly growth continued below the 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month rolling average (respectively +2.2%, +8.2%, +7.5%) and closer sector analysis shows that a number of categories are facing significant struggles.
Electrical products (-27.5%) and Gifts (-18.5%) continued the downward trend observed since last November and September. Surprisingly, BWS recorded the first negative growth for the year, reaching a staggering -19.7%.
The apparel sector grew much slower than in the previous year (+ 8.2%) and menswear fell by -13.3% compared to very good results last year (+ 23%). Womenswear (-4.8%) continued its single-digit or negative growth trend this year. Accessories, which have grown profitably over the past few months, are now showing the worst performance in 10 years: -20.0% compared to the previous year. Footwear was the only clothing subsector to record positive growth (+6.7%).
With +22.6% compared to +2% total vs last year, only the Health & Beauty sector continued its strong monthly performance. Consumers are focussing their attention on health and wellbeing as well as the rise in celebrity beauty endorsements.
Despite last month’s dramatic decline, m-commerce grew +8.4% in May, with smartphones +35.0% and tablets flat at +0.3% year-on-year.
Andy Mulcahy, strategy and insight director, IMRG, commented: “When tracking the movement of something in an index, you sometimes get results that are a bit skewed by the growth rate you are comparing against. May 2018 was one such month – with the early summer heatwave, Royal Wedding and a World Cup looming, people seemed happy to spend pretty lavishly on retail, so May 2019 was always going to be anchored by it. That said, 1.9% growth is far lower than we might have expected; indeed, it’s the lowest since we started tracking nearly 20 years ago, so it seems there is something more going on here.
“The fact is that retailers are caught in a perfect storm at the moment – with all the problems on the high street, changing customer behaviour, shopper confidence low due to all the CVAs and negative coverage of major brands, a shifting competitive landscape, and, of course, even the weather is refusing to provide any relief. It’s proving tough to find any positives in the sales performance at the moment.”
Bhavesh Unadkat, principal consultant in retail customer engagement, Capgemini, said: “The Health and Beauty sector is a standout category in a tough month, reporting +22% compared to +2 total vs last year. Wellness and wellbeing have become a high focus area amongst consumers. Therefore, at a time when there is limited disposable spend, this could be impacting other categories such as clothing.
“Over the last few years, Health and Beauty brands have responded to the increased demand for natural ingredients and attention on environmental impact through exciting developments in product innovation, marketing, and consumer experience. Digital has also had a big role, responding to raised social awareness and innovation in technology which has paved the way for initiatives for growth in this space. Wearables like Mapo and Fitbit are great examples of this, as well as the creation of new business models like the face gym and the increased importance of influencer campaigns. This plays well into the share of online sales; Kantar has reported that online penetration for cosmetics has increased to 21%.
“Therefore, when wallet share is being fought over, adapting to customer needs and what is important to them is key; if other sectors can integrate these principles into their offering to differentiate, diversify, and better engage shoppers, there will be a greater chance of them staying ahead of the game.”
